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Dollar Versus Loonie and Aussie October 3rd // 02 Oct. 2012

USD/CAD rose again during the session on Tuesday, but stays stuck in the 50 pip range between the 0.98 and 0.9850 levels. The market simply looks like it is currently waiting on the results of the Non-Farm Payroll numbers as the two economies are so interconnected. The AUD/USD pair fell hard after the RBA cut rates. The 1.03 level that broke down for support looks very likely to turn into resistance as well. Because of this, we may see a slow grind lower for a while. The gold markets will keep the Aussie from falling apart though. Play video >>

Dollar Versus Pound and Euro October 3rd // 02 Oct. 2012

GBP/USD tried to rally again on Tuesday but gave up all of its gains for the day in order to form a shooting star. This was the second shooting star in a row, and this suggests to us that this pair will continue to fall. The 1.60 level below should be supportive though. The EUR/USD formed a shooting star as well, but also has a trend line offering support just below. In fact, we also see the 1.2750 level as problematic as well for the sellers. With the Non-Farm Payroll numbers coming out on Friday - this pair could be a bit quiet. Play video >>

Dollar Versus Loonie and Kiwi October 2nd // 02 Oct. 2012

USD/CAD fell during the session on Monday, but continues to hover above the 0.98 support level. This area looks like the bottom of the range we will be trading in until the Non-Farm Payroll numbers come out on Friday. On the top we see the 0.9850 level. The NZD/USD pair attempted to breakout on Monday, but fell back down as the 0.83 level forced a shooting star. This suggests that we will continue to bounce around in the previous consolidation area, and that the market is going to grind until we get a clear sign on Friday. We do believe in buying on the dips however..... Play video >>

Dollar Versus Pound and Euro October 2nd // 02 Oct. 2012

GBP/USD fell during the session after initially gaining on Monday. The candle for the day was a shooting star, and it formed at the bottom of a down move, normally a bearish sign. The move looks like it is setting up to fall a bit more, but with this trend being so strong to the upside, we are looking to buy on signs of support at 1.60, not selling. The EUR/USD pair saw strength during the session, and as a result we think the pair will continue to grind higher. The Federal Reserve continues to print money like it's their job, (And it seems to be.) and this will continue to give this pair a lift in the near term. Play video >>

Dollar Versus Yen and Pound October 1st // 30 Sept. 2012

USD/JPY had a fairly wild ride on Friday, as the bulls came out in force. One cannot help buy wonder if those bulls resided in Tokyo, say at the Bank of Japan? Odd movement for sure, and the BoJ hasn't exactly been quiet about being involved at these levels. The GBP/USD pair fell hard on Friday, but to be honest, this only makes us much more bullish. We would love to see a bit of a pullback, and it looks like we may get one. However, we will not be shorting - rather we will be looking to buy at lower levels such as the 1.60 and 1.58 handles. Play video >>

Dollar Versus Loonie and Euro October 1st // 30 Sept. 2012

USD/CAD rose after initially falling through the 0.98 handle. This pair is currently trying to decide if it wants to continue lower and follow the previous breakdown, or if it is a "false breakout" and it wants to reenter the consolidation from the last 1.5 years. The EUR/USD pair fell on Friday in order to finish the week off with a whimper. However, the 1.2750 level below looks like it could be supportive, and as a result we feel the downside at this point is probably somewhat limited. Play video >>

October 1st Long-Term Charts // 30 Sept. 2012

The EUR/USD pair fell this past week, but it must be said that we are still above significant support at the 1.2750 level. As long as this is true, it is going to be hard to push this pair down much more. The Euro bulls seem oblivious to bad news, so there is little to think this is going to change in the short term. The USD/CAD pair is currently bouncing around the 0.98 handle, and oil is finding a bid. Now the real questions will be answered over the next week or so. Will oil rise? It certainly looks likely. If it does - this pair falls. Once we are above the 0.9950 level however, this is a bullish market until 1.04 again. The AUD/USD pair fell over most of the week, but finished strong enough to look supported. This chart shows support at the 1.03 level, and resistance between 1.05 and 1.06 or so. Which one will win? With the Fed printing money......the AUD is likely to climb over time. Play video >>

Pound Versus Dollar and Yen September 28th // 28 Sept. 2012

GBP/USD had a nice positive tone to it for the session, and look ready to try and break out over the 1.63 level. This area giving way would be a big deal, and allow this market to continue much higher. We like buying dips as well as this breakout and think that the 1.60 level should be the "floor" in this pair. The GBP/JPY pair rose slightly for the session as the hammer from the Wednesday session had buyers stepping into the market on Thursday. The "risk on" attitude of the market on Thursday helped this pair, and as a result we think this market should continue higher. Play video >>

Dollar Versus Kiwi and Loonie September 28th // 28 Sept. 2012

NZD/USD shot straight up on Thursday as the "risk on" rally happened yet again. The Kiwi continues to get a lift from several factors, not the least of which is the fact that the Federal Reserve continues to keep a loose monetary policy. We think the 0.8350 level will have to be broken in order to continue higher. Pullbacks are also opportunities for entries on the long side as well. The USD/CAD pair fell again, and retested the 0.98 handle for support. The area is important, and if we can continue lower, this pair should fall quite a bit. The pair will also be influenced by the oil markets as usual, which suddenly looked a bit perky on Thursday as well. Play video >>

Dollar Versus Euro and Pound September 27th // 26 Sept. 2012

EUR/USD fell during most of the session on Wednesday as the markets took a "risk off" attitude in general. This pair managed to bounce though, and we now have a nice hammerish candle now. This pair looks healthy, but there is a ton of noise ahead. The GBP/USD did much of the same, but still looks the healthier of the two. The pair looks like it also has a ton of support below at the 1.60 level, and we could see a real surge of buyers in that region IF was fall. If not, we should see the floodgates open at the 1.63 level. Play video >>

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